HomePolitics › Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 B...

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.4%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" has a probability of 0.4%. Trading volume: $3.5M.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 9h ago
Volume
$3.5M
Volume 24h
$55K
Liquidity
$210K
Traders
Bid / Ask
0.4% / 0.5%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Oct 2026
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology