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Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

29.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?" has a probability of 29.5%. Trading volume: $106K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 58m ago
Volume
$106K
Volume 24h
$262
Liquidity
$3K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
20.0% / 39.0%
Spread
19.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jan 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement wi…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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