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Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

6.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?" has a probability of 6.6%. Trading volume: $28K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$28K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$10K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
5.0% / 8.2%
Spread
3.2%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2027
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United State…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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