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Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

51.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?" has a probability of 51.5%. Trading volume: $220K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$220K
Volume 24h
$28
Liquidity
$19K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
49.0% / 54.0%
Spread
5.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Pri…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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