MethodologyAPI
Home › Politics › Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most...

Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

78.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?" has a probability of 78.5%. Trading volume: $240K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 21m ago
Volume
$240K
Volume 24h
$56
Liquidity
$10K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
77.0% / 80.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Oct 2026
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology