HomeGeopolitics › Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 3...

Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?

4.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?" has a probability of 4.0%. Trading volume: $78K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$78K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
Bid / Ask
3.0% / 4.9%
Spread
1.9%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology