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Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?

1.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?" has a probability of 1.1%. Trading volume: $82K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$82K
Volume 24h
$461
Liquidity
$9K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
1.0% / 1.3%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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