MethodologyAPI
Home › Politics › Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first p...

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

23.8%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?" has a probability of 23.8%. Trading volume: $62K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$62K
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$14K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
23.1% / 24.5%
Spread
1.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the m…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology