HomeGeopolitics › Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole ...

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

54.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?" has a probability of 54.0%. Trading volume: $99K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$99K
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
Bid / Ask
53.0% / 55.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Huliaipole, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47°39'45.5"N 36°15'13.1"E) by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Huliaipole will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red o…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology