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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

83.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 83.0%. Trading volume: $329K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$329K
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$53K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
82.0% / 84.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is sh…

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