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Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?

4.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?" has a probability of 4.2%. Trading volume: $36K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$36K
Volume 24h
$48
Liquidity
$14K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
3.9% / 4.4%
Spread
0.5%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kharkiv (https://maps.app.goo.gl/m484AfKV3TTS8nB68) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a be…

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