MethodologyAPI
Home › Geopolitics › Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April...

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?

3.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?" has a probability of 3.6%. Trading volume: $88K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$88K
Volume 24h
$259
Liquidity
$10K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
2.1% / 5.1%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Mykhailivka, Sumy Oblast, (50.797758° N, 35.315210° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territo…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology