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Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

5.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?" has a probability of 5.5%. Trading volume: $72K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$72K
Volume 24h
$42
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the city of Zaporizhia (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Gezpp2b4SDnefJ5s9) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is sh…

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This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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