HomeGeopolitics › Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by ...

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

8.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?" has a probability of 8.5%. Trading volume: $5K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 31m ago
Volume
$5K
Volume 24h
$2
Liquidity
$10K
Traders
Bid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the Stat…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology