MethodologyAPI
Home › Politics › Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen...

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

90.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" has a probability of 90.0%. Trading volume: $137K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$137K
Volume 24h
$19
Liquidity
$31K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
89.0% / 91.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reportin…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology