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Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?

93.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?" has a probability of 93.5%. Trading volume: $30K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$30K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$7K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
90.0% / 97.0%
Spread
7.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Nov 2026
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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