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Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

1.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?" has a probability of 1.1%. Trading volume: $7K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$7K
Volume 24h
$29
Liquidity
$7K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
0.5% / 1.6%
Spread
1.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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