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Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

12.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" has a probability of 12.5%. Trading volume: $324K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$324K
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$4K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
11.0% / 14.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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