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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

68.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" has a probability of 68.5%. Trading volume: $42K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$42K
Volume 24h
$651
Liquidity
$14K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
67.0% / 70.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jan 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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