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Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

3.8%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?" has a probability of 3.8%. Trading volume: $228K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 19m ago
Volume
$228K
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$27K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
3.2% / 4.3%
Spread
1.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at wa…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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