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Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

22.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?" has a probability of 22.5%. Trading volume: $47K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$47K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$11K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
22.0% / 23.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip). This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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