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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

6.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 6.5%. Trading volume: $432K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$432K
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$150K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to anno…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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