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Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

96.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?" has a probability of 96.2%. Trading volume: $472K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$472K
Volume 24h
$6
Liquidity
$40K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
95.6% / 96.7%
Spread
1.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Sep 2026
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 3…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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