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Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

8.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?" has a probability of 8.0%. Trading volume: $45K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$45K
Volume 24h
$10
Liquidity
$28K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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