Across 2 prediction market platforms, "Which team will win the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League? — Paris Saint-Germain (France)" has a consensus probability of 24.6%. Manifold: 22.1%, Gemini: 26.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.
Computed from 2 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.