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Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

0.7%
Consensus Probability (Model A — Inverse-Variance Log-Odds)
2 platforms · 3pp spread · $129K

Across 2 prediction market platforms, "Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?" has a consensus probability of 0.7%. Polymarket: 0.4%, Gemini: 3.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Polymarket
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0%
$126K
Gemini
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3%
$3K
Probability Over Time
All 4 Consensus Models
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$126K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
0.4% / 0.5%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Nov 2026
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs)…
Gemini
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$3K
Liquidity
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Nov 2026

About This Consensus

Computed from 2 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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