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Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

65.0%
Consensus Probability (Model B — Geometric Mean of Odds)
1 platforms · 0pp spread · $12K

Across 1 prediction market platform, "Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?" has a consensus probability of 65.0%. Polymarket: 65.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Polymarket
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65%
$12K
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 24m ago
Volume
$12K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
63.0% / 67.0%
Spread
4.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Guberna…

About This Consensus

Computed from 1 platform using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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