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Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

7.7%
Consensus Probability (Model A — Inverse-Variance Log-Odds)
1 platforms · 0pp spread · $9K

Across 1 prediction market platform, "Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?" has a consensus probability of 7.7%. Polymarket: 7.7%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Polymarket
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8%
$9K
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 26d ago
Volume
$9K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
7.4% / 8.0%
Spread
0.6%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Nov 2026
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for th…

About This Consensus

Computed from 1 platform using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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