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Georgia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? — Democratic Party

61.1%
Consensus Probability (Model B — Geometric Mean of Odds)
1 platforms · 0pp spread

Across 1 prediction market platform, "Georgia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? — Democratic Party" has a consensus probability of 61.1%. Manifold: 61.1%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Manifold
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61%
21 traders
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Manifold
Updated 2h ago
Volume
Liquidity
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Nov 2026

About This Consensus

Computed from 1 platform using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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