Across 3 prediction market platforms, "Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?" has a consensus probability of 9.4%. Manifold: 7.8%, Predictit: 16.0%, Polymarket: 16.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.
Computed from 3 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.