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Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

65.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?" has a probability of 65.0%. Trading volume: $1.5M.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$1.5M
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$97K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
64.0% / 66.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Sep 2026
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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