Across 2 prediction market platforms, "Which Party will win the 2026 Nebraska Governor's race? — Republicans" has a consensus probability of 87.1%. Manifold: 80.0%, Predictit: 97.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.
Computed from 2 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.