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Who will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers] — Jon Ossoff

42.4%
Consensus Probability (Model A — Inverse-Variance Log-Odds)
1 platforms · 0pp spread

Across 1 prediction market platform, "Who will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers] — Jon Ossoff" has a consensus probability of 42.4%. Manifold: 42.4%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Manifold
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42%
94 traders
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Manifold
Updated 3h ago
Volume
Liquidity
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Mar 2027

About This Consensus

Computed from 1 platform using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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