Across 3 prediction market platforms, "Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?" has a consensus probability of 95.6%. Manifold: 96.6%, Polymarket: 92.0%, Predictit: 97.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.
Computed from 3 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.