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Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

16.0%
Consensus Probability (Model A — Inverse-Variance Log-Odds)
1 platforms · 0pp spread · $19K

Across 1 prediction market platform, "Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?" has a consensus probability of 16.0%. Polymarket: 16.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Polymarket
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16%
$19K
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 26d ago
Volume
$19K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
13.0% / 19.0%
Spread
6.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gube…

About This Consensus

Computed from 1 platform using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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