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Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

40.0%
Consensus Probability (Model A — Inverse-Variance Log-Odds)
1 platforms · 0pp spread · $10K

Across 1 prediction market platform, "Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?" has a consensus probability of 40.0%. Polymarket: 40.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Polymarket
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40%
$10K
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 12d ago
Volume
$10K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
38.0% / 42.0%
Spread
4.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Ca…

About This Consensus

Computed from 1 platform using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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