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Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

28.0%
Consensus Probability (Model B — Geometric Mean of Odds)
1 platforms · 0pp spread · $6K

Across 1 prediction market platform, "Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?" has a consensus probability of 28.0%. Polymarket: 28.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Polymarket
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28%
$6K
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$6K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
23.0% / 33.0%
Spread
10.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Ca…

About This Consensus

Computed from 1 platform using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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