Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$9.9M3pp gap
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
29%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
28%
Gemini
31%
Manifold
27%
politics3 sources$9.9M4pp gap
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8%
Polymarket
7%
Gemini
11%
Manifold
6%
sports3 sources$9.9M5pp gap
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10%
Polymarket
9%
Gemini
12%
Manifold
10%
sports3 sources$9.8M3pp gap
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16%
— 0ppPolymarket
15%
Gemini
20%
Manifold
15%
sports3 sources$9.7M5pp gap
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10%
— 0ppPolymarket
9%
Gemini
12%
Manifold
10%
sports3 sources$9.6M3pp gap
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Gemini
5%
Manifold
2%
sports3 sources$9.5M3pp gap
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$9.3M3pp gap
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$9.2M2pp gap
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$8.5M2pp gap
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7%
Polymarket
5%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
7%
sports3 sources$8.4M3pp gap
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
5%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$8.0M4pp gap
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$6.8M3pp gap
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
42%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
42%
Gemini
45%
Manifold
40%
sports3 sources$6.3M5pp gap
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$6.1M4pp gap
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$5.2M4pp gap
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$5.0M4pp gap
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$4.5M4pp gap
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$3.9M3pp gap
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
Polymarket
7%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.9M5pp gap