Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
6%
Gemini
12%
Manifold
5%
sports3 sources$2.3M7pp gap
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.5M2pp gap
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
3%
sports3 sources$1.5M4pp gap
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
47%
Polymarket
44%
Manifold
47%
Gemini
49%
sports3 sources$1.4M4pp gap
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.4M3pp gap
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
7%
Gemini
12%
Manifold
4%
sports3 sources$1.3M8pp gap
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
10%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.3M9pp gap
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
6%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.2M3pp gap
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.2M3pp gap
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.1M3pp gap
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.0M3pp gap
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
17%
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
28%
crypto2 sources$792K19pp gap
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
77%
Polymarket
74%
Gemini
80%
Manifold
77%
sports3 sources$529K7pp gap
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
64%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
72%
Manifold
55%
other2 sources$421K17pp gap
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
3%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
5%
sports3 sources$410K4pp gap
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
30%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
28%
Manifold
31%
politics2 sources$85K3pp gap
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
55%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
59%
Manifold
52%
politics2 sources$31K7pp gap
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
14%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
12%
Manifold
15%
politics2 sources$21K3pp gap