H
Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?
78%
Manifold
78%
otherManifold20 traders
I
If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
61%
Manifold
61%
politicsManifold24 traders
W
Will President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
10%
Manifold
10%
politicsManifold77 traders
W
Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?
12%
Manifold
12%
otherManifold148 traders
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine? — Before 2027-01-01
23%
Manifold
23%
geopoliticsManifold172 traders
W
Will the WWE have their first openly transgender active wrestler by the end of 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
otherManifold16 traders
W
Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?
62%
Manifold
62%
sportsManifold119 traders
W
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
26%
Manifold
26%
economicsManifold24 traders
W
Will China collapse before 2030
16%
Manifold
16%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X? — 2027
29%
Manifold
29%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X? — 2033
66%
Manifold
66%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X? — 2034
71%
Manifold
71%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X? — 2035
72%
Manifold
72%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X? — 2036
76%
Manifold
76%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X? — 2037
76%
Manifold
76%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X? — 2039
81%
Manifold
81%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X? — 2040
82%
Manifold
82%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will Chittagong Bangladesh be declared the most liveable city in the world by the end of 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?
9%
Manifold
9%
geopoliticsManifold24 traders
W
Will the US have a gender non-conforming president by 2033?
3%
Manifold
3%
politicsManifold24 traders