I
Iran leadership change by...? — May 15
18%
Manifold
18%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup host nation reach the quarterfinals?
40%
Manifold
40%
sportsManifold18 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2025
1%
Manifold
1%
aiManifold19 traders
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by Jun 2029?
27%
Manifold
27%
cryptoManifold25 traders
When will a country withdraw from NATO for the first time — by end of 2029
21%
Manifold
21%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
W
Will anyone break the Apollo 13 crew's record for furthest people from Earth before 2030?
99%
Manifold
99%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will Destiny have more subscribers than Hasan at any point before EOY 2027?
6%
Manifold
6%
otherManifold20 traders
W
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2027?
10%
Manifold
10%
otherManifold20 traders
W
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 months of his inauguration?
23%
Manifold
23%
politicsManifold17 traders
W
Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
otherManifold15 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?
12%
Manifold
12%
financeManifold21 traders
W
What will be true about The Super Mario Galaxy Movie? [Add Answers!] — Beach bowl galaxy is featured
13%
Manifold
13%
entertainmentManifold21 traders
H
Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?
78%
Manifold
78%
otherManifold20 traders
W
Will AI wipe out Manifold by 2030?
7%
Manifold
7%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will anyone but Netanyahu be Isreali PM before the end of 2029
85%
Manifold
85%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2027?
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold21 traders
Before when will SLS be cancelled? — 2027
18%
Manifold
18%
otherManifold21 traders
Before when will SLS be cancelled? — 2028
61%
Manifold
61%
otherManifold21 traders
Before when will SLS be cancelled? — 2029
77%
Manifold
77%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?
71%
Manifold
71%
politicsManifold21 traders