OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
5,207 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office?
12%
Manifold
12%
politicsManifold21 traders
C
Comercially available nuclear powered phone by 2050?
13%
Manifold
13%
geopoliticsManifold21 traders
W
Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?
40%
Manifold
40%
scienceManifold21 traders
W
Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027?
6%
Manifold
6%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will it be revealed that Big Mom is still alive before the end of One Piece?
61%
Manifold
61%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will my US History Teacher send me to detention for finishing our work booklet early?
57%
Manifold
57%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will China bomb any country by the end of 2026?
12%
Manifold
12%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will Banksy's identity become public and beyond doubt by 2030?
70%
Manifold
70%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will Trump be regarded as a fascist by most mainstream scholars in 2050?
60%
Manifold
60%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act by April 30, 2026?
10%
Manifold
10%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
30%
Manifold
30%
otherManifold21 traders
S
Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
48%
Manifold
48%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
80%
Manifold
80%
financeManifold21 traders
K
Kristi Noem impeached by the house in 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
politicsManifold22 traders
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Odds Raven

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