G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before May 2027
84%
Manifold
84%
aiManifold119 traders
W
will Anthropic have another leak in April 2026?
46%
Manifold
46%
aiManifold13 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before April 2027
79%
Manifold
79%
aiManifold119 traders
C
Claude Mythos output cost ($/Mtok) — ≥$200/Mtok
12%
Manifold
12%
aiManifold28 traders
D
Does GPT-5.5 exist?
76%
Manifold
76%
aiManifold13 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before February 2027
74%
Manifold
74%
aiManifold119 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before 2027
73%
Manifold
73%
aiManifold119 traders
C
Claude Mythos output cost ($/Mtok) — ≥$150/Mtok
17%
Manifold
17%
aiManifold28 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before December 2026
64%
Manifold
64%
aiManifold119 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before September 2026
35%
Manifold
35%
aiManifold119 traders
C
Claude Mythos output cost ($/Mtok) — ≥$100/Mtok
89%
Manifold
89%
aiManifold28 traders
W
Will the first AGI be a transformer model?
66%
Manifold
66%
aiManifold15 traders
A
Anthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
aiManifold33 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before May 2026
10%
Manifold
10%
aiManifold119 traders
W
Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
aiManifold14 traders
G
Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date — Before August 2026
77%
Manifold
77%
aiManifold40 traders
R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date — Before 2026-05-01
76%
Manifold
76%
aiManifold149 traders
In what year will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed? — 2027-2029
49%
Manifold
49%
aiManifold38 traders
W
Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?
17%
Manifold
17%
aiManifold24 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
23%
Manifold
23%
aiManifold17 traders