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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
408 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026?
12%
Manifold
12%
aiManifold19 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before October 2026
48%
Manifold
48%
aiManifold119 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before November 2026
58%
Manifold
58%
aiManifold119 traders
W
Will we get AGI before 2036?
58%
Manifold
58%
aiManifold104 traders
W
Will there be a global pause on the largest AI training runs at any point before AGI?
21%
Manifold
21%
aiManifold14 traders
W
Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030?
78%
Manifold
78%
aiManifold14 traders
W
Will we get AGI before 2039?
67%
Manifold
67%
aiManifold73 traders
W
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
25%
Manifold
25%
aiManifold71 traders
W
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?
52%
Manifold
52%
aiManifold102 traders
W
Will tweaking current Large Language Models (LLMs) lead us to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?
19%
Manifold
19%
aiManifold28 traders
W
When will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀 — Before July 2027
66%
Manifold
66%
aiManifold19 traders
W
Will Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 5 and Claude Opus 5 on the same day?
21%
Manifold
21%
aiManifold23 traders
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Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

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