Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
20%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
20%
economicsPolymarket$1K
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
74%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
74%
economicsPolymarket$1K
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
31%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
31%
economicsPolymarket$1K
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?
4%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
4%
economicsPolymarket$1K
W
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
15%
Manifold
15%
economicsManifold52 traders
W
Will India surpass China in terms of GDP before 2050?
34%
Manifold
34%
economicsManifold50 traders
W
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
91%
Manifold
91%
economicsManifold17 traders
W
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?
63%
Manifold
63%
economicsManifold36 traders
W
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
36%
Manifold
36%
economicsManifold102 traders
W
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
44%
Manifold
44%
economicsManifold34 traders
W
Will Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?
16%
Manifold
16%
economicsManifold15 traders
W
Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?
90%
Manifold
90%
economicsManifold16 traders
W
Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?
30%
Manifold
30%
economicsManifold18 traders
W
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
31%
Manifold
31%
economicsManifold17 traders
W
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
53%
Manifold
53%
economicsManifold19 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
24%
Manifold
24%
economicsManifold17 traders
W
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
23%
Manifold
23%
economicsManifold12 traders
T
This question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold48 traders
U
US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?
48%
Manifold
48%
economicsManifold17 traders
W
Will the US lift all sanctions on Iran before 2029?
30%
Manifold
30%
economicsManifold16 traders