OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
149 questions
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on April 12?
1%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
1%
entertainmentPolymarket$6K
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30?
59%
↑ 5pp
Polymarket
59%
entertainmentPolymarket$3K
Will between 22 and 24 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
27%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
27%
entertainmentPolymarket$3K
Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
75%
↑ 16pp
Polymarket
75%
entertainmentPolymarket$3K
Will "Dandelion" - Ella Langley debut week album sales be at least 140k?
52%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
52%
entertainmentPolymarket$3K
Will between 10 and 12 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
0%
Polymarket
0%
entertainmentPolymarket$2K
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
38%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
38%
entertainmentPolymarket$2K
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
48%
Polymarket
48%
entertainmentPolymarket$1K
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?
16%
↑ 7pp
Polymarket
16%
entertainmentPolymarket$1K
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 18?
97%
— 0pp
Polymarket
97%
entertainmentPolymarket$1K
W
Will James Wan's 'The Gangster, The Cop, The Devil' remake begin filming before October 2026?
92%
Context
92%
entertainmentContext$829
W
Will the winner of Eurovision 2026 come from Europe?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold20 traders
W
Will video-creating AIs make Hollywood movies significantly cheaper to make by 2033?
77%
Manifold
77%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will Disney/Universal win their lawsuit against Midjourney
25%
Manifold
25%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?
84%
Manifold
84%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
35%
Manifold
35%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
I
In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
68%
Manifold
68%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
O
Oil $150 before GTA VI
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?
98%
Manifold
98%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
'
'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?
99%
Manifold
99%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
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