OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 50 min ago
125 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
35%
Manifold
35%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will Rockstar officially announce another delay of GTA 6 before launch?
33%
Manifold
33%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
I
Israel wins Eurovision 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
entertainmentManifold28 traders
W
Will Tom Holland get an Oscar by end of 2027
9%
Manifold
9%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
Will Michael Bay's Skibidi Toilet movie release before the end of 2026?
62%
Manifold
62%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will any major Hollywood film released before 2027 be entirely AI-generated?
12%
Manifold
12%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
W
Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
17%
Manifold
17%
entertainmentManifold100 traders
W
Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?
39%
Manifold
39%
entertainmentManifold29 traders
W
Will video-creating AIs make Hollywood movies significantly cheaper to make by 2033?
77%
Manifold
77%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?
49%
Manifold
49%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
G
GTA VI will have Spotify integration for the in-game radio
17%
Manifold
17%
entertainmentManifold24 traders
K
Keir starmer UK PM on day GTA 6 is released?
42%
Manifold
42%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
B
By 2028, will fully AI generated explicit NSFW movies be commonplace?
70%
Manifold
70%
entertainmentManifold64 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold328 traders
W
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2027?
62%
Manifold
62%
entertainmentManifold19 traders
G
Gta 6 man strip clubs
90%
Manifold
90%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
I
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold46 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2027
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
B
By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
23456
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