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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
149 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will the winner of Eurovision 2026 come from Europe?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold20 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be postponed again?
33%
Manifold
33%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?
76%
Manifold
76%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
I
Israel wins Eurovision 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
entertainmentManifold28 traders
O
Oil $150 before GTA VI
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
I
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold46 traders
B
By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
28%
Manifold
28%
entertainmentManifold4373 traders
W
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
13%
Manifold
13%
entertainmentManifold35 traders
G
GTA 6 released before P. Diddy leaves prison?
81%
Manifold
81%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
52%
Manifold
52%
entertainmentManifold94 traders
'
'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?
99%
Manifold
99%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}
11%
Manifold
11%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
L
Lauren Sanchez in the next Bond film?
14%
Manifold
14%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will Belgium withdraw from Eurovision 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
I
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
21%
Manifold
21%
entertainmentManifold33 traders
W
Will Rockstar Games Company ever release GTA 6 for PC users?
93%
Manifold
93%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will Drake diss Kendrick on any song on Iceman?
64%
Manifold
64%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
45%
Manifold
45%
entertainmentManifold96 traders
←34567→
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