W
Will an adult movie be made in space and released by mid 2034?
40%
Manifold
40%
entertainmentManifold48 traders
I
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
69%
Manifold
69%
entertainmentManifold47 traders
W
Will the Netflix One Piece live action adaptation be cancelled before a third season?
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold46 traders
W
Will a video game be played in the Olympics as an official event by the end of 2050?
75%
Manifold
75%
entertainmentManifold36 traders
B
By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
73%
Manifold
73%
entertainmentManifold40 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold44 traders
G
GTA VI released in 2026?
83%
Manifold
83%
entertainmentManifold42 traders
W
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
16%
Manifold
16%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
G
GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
B
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold63 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2026
21%
Manifold
21%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2028
41%
Manifold
41%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
W
What year will the next Star Trek movie be released? — 2026
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
What year will the next Star Trek movie be released? — 2027
45%
Manifold
45%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
What year will the next Star Trek movie be released? — 2028
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
Will Netflix be defunct by 2030?
9%
Manifold
9%
entertainmentManifold22 traders
W
Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?
76%
Manifold
76%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
W
Will a member of the EU win Eurovision?
78%
Manifold
78%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will JJ Abrams direct a movie in the 2020s?
94%
Manifold
94%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will Spotify remain the most popular music streaming platform in the US at the end of 2026?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold16 traders