OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 50 min ago
151 questions
Consensus 2+
B
By 2028, will fully AI generated explicit NSFW movies be commonplace?
70%
Manifold
70%
entertainmentManifold64 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold328 traders
W
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2027?
62%
Manifold
62%
entertainmentManifold19 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2027
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
B
By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
W
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2026?
88%
Manifold
88%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
26%
Manifold
26%
entertainmentManifold4373 traders
W
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
entertainmentManifold53 traders
W
Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?
98%
Manifold
98%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
'
'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?
99%
Manifold
99%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
L
Lauren Sanchez in the next Bond film?
14%
Manifold
14%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will Rockstar Games Company ever release GTA 6 for PC users?
93%
Manifold
93%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}
11%
Manifold
11%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will Drake diss Kendrick on any song on Iceman?
64%
Manifold
64%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
G
GTA 6 released before P. Diddy leaves prison?
81%
Manifold
81%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will GTA 6 cost 79$ or more on launch?
86%
Manifold
86%
entertainmentManifold38 traders
B
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
32%
Manifold
32%
entertainmentManifold128 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
66%
Manifold
66%
entertainmentManifold347 traders
W
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
52%
Manifold
52%
entertainmentManifold94 traders
W
Will the Unsong musical be good?
64%
Manifold
64%
entertainmentManifold71 traders
5678
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