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Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
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67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
82 questions
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S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >20.5 at end of 2026/05
50%
Manifold
50%
financeManifold41 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 12,000
12%
Manifold
12%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 100,000
7%
Manifold
7%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6500
62%
Manifold
62%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7000
43%
Manifold
43%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7500
28%
Manifold
28%
financeManifold27 traders
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